Woke up this morning and read this very alarming post from Choose Philippines FB page:
Weather Advisory: “Pablo” could be be the strongest typhoon in Mindanao’s history.
Packing maximum sustained winds of 140 knots (259 kilometers per hour), “Pablo” (international name Bopha) has reached supertyphoon status comparable to a Category 5 cyclone in the Western hemisphere, American meteorologists said Tuesday.
The tropical cyclone has rapidly intensified over the last 12 hours in the waters off the eastern Philippines, the US Navy and Air Force’s Joint Typhoon Watch Center (JTWC) said in its latest advisory.Pablo, which also has gusts reaching 170 knots (314kph), will only weaken after it makes landfall in the southern Philippines and cuts a swath through Central Mindanao, the JTWC said.”The current intensity of 140 knots is based on congruent Dvorak estimates from PGTW (Guam Typhoon Warning Center), RJTD [Japan Meteorological Agency], and KNES, all of which support the recent rapid intensification and is additionally supported by a recent jump in the latest CIMMS satcon estimate of 141 knots,” the Hawaii-based weather task force said.Pablo’s track similar to Sendong’sOther foreign weather agencies and meteorologists have been tracking Pablo for days.Dr. Jeff Masters, co-founder of Michigan-based commercial weather forecasting service Weather Underground, said the typhoon is following a similar track to last year’s Tropical Storm Washi (Sendong), which hit Mindanao on December 16, 2011 and killed more than 1,200 people.”Bopha is potentially a catastrophic storm for Mindanao,” he said. “Mindanao rarely gets hit by typhoons, since the island is too close to the Equator, and the infrastructure of Mindanao is not prepared to handle heavy typhoon rains as well as the more typhoon-prone northern islands.”
“Washi was merely a tropical storm, and Bopha is likely to hit at Category 4 or 5 strength, making it the strongest typhoon ever recorded in Mindanao,” he warned in his blog.
“Bopha became a tropical depression unusually close to the Equator, at 3.6°N latitude. Tropical cyclones rarely form so close to the Equator, because they cannot leverage the Earth’s rotation to get themselves spinning,” he said. (more on abs-cbnNEWS.com)